Thinking about influenza
I never paid much attention to the flu in the past. If I caught it, I got sick, ate chicken soup and got better. No biggie. As I get older, however, my asthma seems to react more and more strongly with each bout of flu or cold I get. Last year, for the first time in many years, I had to go get breathing treatments.
Why am I mentioning this?
Every year there are more people who are being diagnosed with asthma as they get older. Every year, more children get asthma. For these people, in whom the flu might not have been a big deal previously, it could now be deadly, or at least more incapacitating than before. Something to think about.
This swine flu thing has a bunch of people freaked out but it also has quite a few media types downplaying the significance of this disease. Yes, people don't seem to be dying of swine flu in the US as much an in Mexico. But this doesn't mean that the disease is mild. It's beginning to appear that this strain might have a similar mortality rate to the regular flu. The old-fashioned garden-variety seasonal influenza kills approximately 30,000 people a year in the USA. Hundreds of thousands more are sickened. Let that sink in. Now think about what would happen if a pandemic hits, where millions of people come down with a disease within a very short period of time. It doesn't matter if the mortality rate of the pandemic disease is only the same as regular flu. That many people all getting sick, being out of work, staying home in fear and, yes, dying, IS going to have an impact on society at large and you in particular.
Pay attention. Wash your hands. Stay home if you're sick. You've heard all this from the government and other sources. What you don't hear as frequently is that it's probably a really good idea to get stocked up on some basic provisions: canned food, bottled water. Keep your car's fuel tank topped off. Think about the impact to your daily life if you got a call that said your child's school is being closed. Can you telecommute to work? Are there any corporate plans to be aware of in the event of a period of isolation?
This isn't being paranoid, it's being practical. Even if nothing happens directly to your or your family, use this as an opportunity to restock your hurricane supplies (FL bias; that's where I live). Talk to your friends and family, especially those that my live alone or have disabilities that restrict movement. What are their plans if they get sick? Who's going to help take care of them? Even if it doesn't kill them, you have to consider the effects of being alone, sick, possibly having the stores closed and having the normal support structures disrupted.
Let's not let this catch us with our pants down. Let's pay attention and deal with this as calmly and as rationally as possible.
Oh, and stop making out with pigs. This thing will spread all on its own, we don't have to help it out.
Some resources:
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
CDC Social Media tools
Follow @CDCemergency on Twitter
Some good blogs following this stuff:
Effect Measure
Greg Laden's blog
Labels: influenza, preparedness, Swine Flu









